Government Bonds – Page 8
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Features
Fixed income, rates, currencies: Nervousness abounds
The weak US non-farm payroll (NFP) data for May, far below forecasts, sent rates falling and stocks rising, on the supposition that it raised the likelihood of interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve. On the other hand, while risk markets cheered the prospect of easier money, the hardline approach taken by the US towards China, and China’s uncompromising responses are raising investor nervousness.
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Features
IPE Quest Expectations Indicator: July 2019
Markets are still driven by political risk and growth prospects. It looks like the two risks are working in the same direction this month.
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Features
IPE Quest Expectations Indicator: August 2019
It looks like political risk is taking a back seat to growth this month, continuing last month’s trend.
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Asset Class Reports
US Treasuries – still safe?
Rising US government debt levels are posing a conundrum for bond investors
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Asset Class Reports
Government Bonds - Euro-zone: Turning Japanese
The euro-zone appears to be in a low-growth liquidity trap redolent of Japan
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Special Report
Indices and Benchmarks: The Chinese dam breaks
Global bond indices have started including the Chinese domestic bond markets in their benchmarks
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Features
Fixed income, rates, currencies: Politics remains the bellwether
Financial markets continue to be influenced by news, and tweets, about the US-China trade negotiations. While stock markets have sold off during the second quarter of 2019, and credit spreads have widened, this financial tightening is so far less than what happened over the last few months of 2018.
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Features
Fixed Income: Markets take nervous turn
Almost every asset class did well in the first quarter of 2019
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Features
Fixed income, rates, currencies: Markets take nervous turn
The reaction and aftermath to the US Federal Reserve’s dovish pivot appears to be more focused on the monetary policy news itself and the ‘fuel’ of easy money.
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Asset Class Reports
Ratings: When corporates can trump sovereigns
Several factors can place corporate credit ratings higher than that of the domicile country
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Features
IPE Quest Expectations Indicator: March 2019
When uncertainty hangs over the financial markets, indices tend to converge. That is true for net sentiment of equities
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Features
Fixed income, rates, currencies: Clouds to darken further
Markets have pulled back from US rate hike forecasts; Euro credit looks set to be most vulnerable to quantative tightening; The European elections in May look set to see a surge in support for populist parties
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Features
IPE Expectation Indicator: February 2019
The end of 2018 saw expectations shift meaningfully in certain markets, and then pause. It also saw trends accelerate, then pause. For most of us, the pauses were welcome, because the shifts were related to broad market plans
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News
FTSE Russell finalises fixed income country classification framework
Index provider sets out guidelines for government bond indices, launches Chinese green bond index
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News
Fitch launches ESG credit rating ‘relevance’ scores
Data published to enable investors to ‘agree or disagree’ with impact of ESG issues on credit ratings
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Features
Fixed income, rates, currencies: Hope but also fears for 2019
US domestic investors hold healthy stock market profits after a decade-long bull run Geopolitics on many fronts point to tumultuous times ahead
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Features
What next for US Treasuries?
A consensus on the direction of 10-year US Treasury rates is not obvious, because the answer reverts to a further question: whose consensus? Strategists, economists and other informed professionals have a particular view. The market itself, however, expresses a more diffuse and different opinion.
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Features
Fixed income, rates, currencies: Challenges still lie ahead
While the US mid-term elections saw the Democrats regain the House of Representatives, trade policy remains in the hands of the White House. Trade tensions, between the US and China in particular, will remain to the fore. President Trump’s aggressive trade policy is already having a global impact with declining purchasing manager indices indicating corporate hesitation in future plans.
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News
AP2 predicts boom in public sector green bond issuance
Dutch regulator also notes growth of green bond asset class
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News
UK asset management body calls for bond market data boosts
Proposals formulated in light of best execution requirement under MiFID II