If you are one of the many wannabe Asian hedge fund managers, it is the vital question. The answer? In short, boy, is it tough at the moment!
This is, perhaps, counter intuitive - in 2006 we saw the highest volume of new asset flows into the industry for many a year, $127bn (€94bn) according to ‘Hedge Fund Review'. Quarter one of 2007 saw a further $60bn raised. So we seem set for another year of rapid growth.
On average in Asia I see around three new managers a week, all at various stages of pre-launch planning. The prime brokers tell a similar story. The volume of new assets being raised globally, the intense worldwide interest in Asia and the huge rewards on offer for the successful make starting a new hedge fund business very attractive to the entrepreneur, the disaffected and the recently bonused. Asia abounds with all three.
You need four principal ingredients to starting up a hedge fund:
n
Working capital for the fund manager;
n Personnel;
n Regulatory licensing and taxation concerns;
n Investment capital.
I have always advised managers that a minimum of two years' worth of expenses should be held in cash
at the start of any launch. A business always takes longer than you think to mature and to expect to be cash flow positive in under three years is foolhardy. The costs of running a business for two years are rising. Office rents in the major Asian financial city centres are increasing exponentially. Front, middle and back office staff are
in short supply and their cost is rising.
The burden of increasing regulation and compliance is forcing up costs as well. In addition, would-be investors from Europe and North America are attuned to a level of systems architecture (trade order management, portfolio management and risk) that is expensive to build and time-consuming. It's virtually impossible to borrow this money from a bank. Traditionally the money manager finds it himself or brings in a sugar daddy to provide it. If you take the latter course you will have to give up a large piece of your economics.
Dependent upon the strategy a manager may need as much as $1.5m in cash. All of this is at risk. Spend it and fail as a business and you won't see it again. A high proportion of new Asian managers are first generation - that is, they are coming out of broking houses, long-only asset management businesses and investment banks. Not all can afford to risk this amount of capital. School fees and mortgages are important considerations even for a hedge fund manager.
There are some solutions. Put your office in a less ritzy part of town, ‘soft dollar' your technology costs, bring key staff in as equity owners rather than as salaried employees. But all imply some form of compromise, no matter how slight, and all these solutions, at the margin, will affect how your firm is viewed in the marketplace.
he days when a hedge fund built around just one employee could expect to prosper are gone. Everyone needs to go on holiday. As investment strategies in Asia become more complex, so the need for more and higher quality staff increases. Portfolio managers, traders, sales people, compliance and middle office personnel. The competition is now intense for good quality people.
The talent pool was not large to start with, given the hollowing out of fund management talent in Asia after the 1998/99 financial crisis. But now financial institutions are back in force. Investment banks everywhere are staffing up for China and India. Prime brokers and administrators are thicker on the ground too in response to the growth in the hedge fund industry in Asia. The advent of the large US-based, mainly multi-strategy houses in the past few years has
further intensified the competition. It feels like 1994-96 all over again, when staff were not only impossible to find but really hard to cling on to, as wage inflation took off. If you find good staff, make sure you pay them well. As a start-up you may even have to build in a premium, as employment with you is riskier than with an established institution.
Regulatory licensing and taxation
Hong Kong's issues are well documented. Unless you have recent asset management experience, you either need to find a friendly licensee to warehouse you, or you need to locate in Singapore. Rumour abounds that Hong Kong's requirements will be partially relaxed for those already licensed in acceptable jurisdictions. Even in Singapore pressure is building on the authorities to tighten up on their requirements, as the fear is they have made it too easy for undesirable elements to get an asset management licence.
If you are in Japan, Korea, mainland China or India, you will need an offshore asset management company of substance. You will only be able to advise this entity from your onshore location. The offshore fund management business places the investment trades (among other things) on behalf of the offshore fund. Local taxation and regulatory issues in all of these countries make this a necessity. This imposes the need for two layers of structure and a compliance regime of substance.
Last, but by no means least. In 2006 the percentage of total industry assets under management owned by the world's top 100 asset managers rose from 64% to 67%. In addition, 64% of all new 'pure start-ups' undershot their initial sales targets. This figure was only 6% for new funds being sold by existing managers.
The industry is getting increasingly ‘institutionalised'. Funds of funds in the main have become so large they find it difficult to invest in funds with assets below $100m. Seed capital providers are looking for managers whose strategies can scale to assets under management of at least $1bn (which rules out many Asian investment theses). Asian pension funds and high-net-worth individuals still invest their financial assets outside of the region.
A new manager needs capital providers whose goals match his business targets. There are very few Asia-based seed investors, so it involves a lot of 'frog kissing'.
So is it all worth it? I think so. If you fail, the fund management market is still going to be around in Asia when you are ready to return to the workforce, and the memory of the hedge fund world is famously short. Lie low for a year or two and you can always try again.
Paul Smith is a director of AAA Partners, based in Hong Kong
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